เหตุการณ์ใน-นอกโลก VS ภัยธรรมชาติ และupdate พายุสุริยะ

Sunday was "Sun" Day
02/14/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 02:30
Comment on Message Board Solar Flares - Mutiple Solar flares took place around Sprawling Sunspot 1158 on Sunday, including an M6.6 Flare which was the 2nd largest of Cycle 24 thus far. Unfortunatly it does not look like any large earth directed CME's are incoming at this time. There will continue to be a chance for M-Class flares and NOAA also lists a 5% chance for an X-Class event.
M6.6 Flare Movie (Thanks AF4EX)
Solar Flux 107 - For the first time in Cycle 24, the official daily solar flux number measured in Penticton, BC closed above 100. The solar flux of 107 is the highest since September 2005. The last time the solar flux finished above 100 was in December 2006.
Solar Update - Huge sunspot 1158 which is located in the southern hemisphere will continue to be a threat for strong solar flares. Elsewhere, Sunspot 1157 which is in the northern hemisphere showed growth late on Sunday and Sunspot 1160 which rotated into view on the eastern limb has sprouted a few new spots as well. The M6.6 Solar Flare did cause a Radio Blackout on HF which was short lived.
Sunspots (Early Monday)

Sunspot 1158 (Early Monday)

Sunspot 1158 (Sunday) by Ron Cottrell


<hr>
<table border="1" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td background="graphics/solarback2.jpg" width="505">

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Feb 13 2200 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 044 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Feb 2011

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z: Solar activity has been high. Region 1158 (S20W03)
produced an M6/1N flare at 13/1738Z associated with a 130 sfu
Tenflare and a Type II radio sweep (estimated velocity 1119 km/s).
Region 1158 grew in area and developed a complex E-type sunspot
group with a beta-gamma magnetic classification. Region 1157
(N18W30) and Region 1159 (N19W01) both grew slightly but remain
magnetically simple while Region 1160 (N16E74) decayed to spotless
plage.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a chance for a major x-ray event for days one thru
three (14-16 February). Region 1158 continued growth and recent
major flare make this region the most likely source for a major
event. There is a slight chance for C-class activity from Region
1157 and Region 1159.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. Solar wind data from the ACE
satellite indicate a drop in solar wind velocity to approximately
310 km/s.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on day one (14 February). Quiet
to unsettled with a chance for active conditions are expected on
days two and three (15-16 February), due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream becoming geoeffective.

III. Event Probabilities 14 Feb-16 Feb
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green




[Latest Report]

</pre></td></tr></tbody></table>

 

Sunday was "Sun" Day
02/14/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 02:30

Comment on Message Board

Solar Flares - Mutiple Solar flares took place around Sprawling Sunspot 1158 on Sunday, including an M6.6 Flare which was the 2nd largest of Cycle 24 thus far. Unfortunatly it does not look like any large earth directed CME's are incoming at this time. There will continue to be a chance for M-Class flares and NOAA also lists a 5% chance for an X-Class event.
M6.6 Flare Movie (Thanks AF4EX)


Solar Flux 107 - For the first time in Cycle 24, the official daily solar flux number measured in Penticton, BC closed above 100. The solar flux of 107 is the highest since September 2005. The last time the solar flux finished above 100 was in December 2006.

Solar Update - Huge sunspot 1158 which is located in the southern hemisphere will continue to be a threat for strong solar flares. Elsewhere, Sunspot 1157 which is in the northern hemisphere showed growth late on Sunday and Sunspot 1160 which rotated into view on the eastern limb has sprouted a few new spots as well. The M6.6 Solar Flare did cause a Radio Blackout on HF which was short lived.
Sunspots (Early Monday)

มีระเบิดจากพระอาทิตย์หลายลูก (solar flare) จากจุดดับ 1158 เมื่อวันอาทิตย์ รวมทั้ง flare ที่เป็น M6.6 เป็นลูกที่ใหญ่เป็นอันดับสองของ รอบวัฏจักรนี้ (Cycle 24) แต่ก็ยังดีที่มันไม่มี CME ที่พุ่งตรงมายังโลกขณะนี้ ยังมีโอกาสที่มี Flare class M อีก และยังมีโอกาสที่มีคลาส X อีก 5%

แถมยังสนามแม่เหล็ก 107 - ครั้งแรกสำหรับวัฏจักร 24 นี้ สนามแม่เหล็กถูกวัดมีค่ามากกว่า 100 flux 107 เป็นค่าที่สูงสุดในกันยายน 2005 และครั้งสุดท้ายค่าฟลั๊กซ์ที่มีค่ามากกว่า 100 เกิดขึ้นในธันวา 2006

จุดดับใหญ่ 1158 ตั้งอยู่ที่ทางใต้ของดวงอาทิตย์ และยังคาดว่าจะระเบิดรุนแรง strong solare flares. และจุดดับ 1157 ที่อยู่ทางเหนือ และกำลังใหญ่ขึ้นอีก และจุดดับ 1160 ที่หมุนไปอีกข้างคืออยู่ทางตะวันออกของดวงอาทิตย์ และยังมีจุดดับใหม่ขึ้นมาอีก และ แฟร์ M6.6 ทำให้คลื่นวิทยุหยุดทำงาน High Frequency


Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Feb 13 2200 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 044 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Feb 2011

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z: Solar activity has been high. Region 1158 (S20W03)
produced an M6/1N flare at 13/1738Z associated with a 130 sfu
Tenflare and a Type II radio sweep (estimated velocity 1119 km/s).
Region 1158 grew in area and developed a complex E-type sunspot
group with a beta-gamma magnetic classification. Region 1157
(N18W30) and Region 1159 (N19W01) both grew slightly but remain
magnetically simple while Region 1160 (N16E74) decayed to spotless
plage.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a chance for a major x-ray event for days one thru
three (14-16 February). Region 1158 continued growth and recent
major flare make this region the most likely source for a major
event. There is a slight chance for C-class activity from Region
1157 and Region 1159.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. Solar wind data from the ACE
satellite indicate a drop in solar wind velocity to approximately
310 km/s.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on day one (14 February). Quiet
to unsettled with a chance for active conditions are expected on
days two and three (15-16 February), due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream becoming geoeffective.

III. Event Probabilities 14 Feb-16 Feb
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green

<table class="day_2" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <td width="1%">
</td> <td width="99%"> February 14, 2011



Sunspots and active regions

The following regions with sunspots can be now observed on the Sun's surface
<table class="table_1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td></tr> <tr> <th width="1%">Group number </th> <th width="10%">Sunspots Location on the Sun </th> <th width="11%">The number of spots in the group </th> <th width="20%">The classification by the Zurich's modified system </th> <th width="30%">Area (millions of shares of the solar hemisphere) </th> <th width="9%">Group length (in degrees) </th> <th width="16%">Carrington Longitude (in degrees) </th> <th class="last" width="1%">Group's magnet type </th></tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td></tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap">№ 1156 </td> <td>S21 W35 </td> <td class="center">03 </td> <td class="center">Axx </td> <td class="center">0000 </td> <td class="center">02 </td> <td class="center">071 </td> <td class="center">Alpha </td></tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td></tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap">№ 1157 </td> <td>N18 W30 </td> <td class="center">07 </td> <td class="center">Dso </td> <td class="center">0040 </td> <td class="center">04 </td> <td class="center">065 </td> <td class="center">Beta </td></tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td></tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap">№ 1158 </td> <td>S20 W03 </td> <td class="center">31 </td> <td class="center">Eac </td> <td class="center">0120 </td> <td class="center">10 </td> <td class="center">034 </td> <td class="center">Beta-Gamma </td></tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td></tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap">№ 1159 </td> <td>N19 W01 </td> <td class="center">03 </td> <td class="center">Cso </td> <td class="center">0020 </td> <td class="center">05 </td> <td class="center">034 </td> <td class="center">Beta </td></tr></tbody></table> Coordinates and other characteristics of active regions are issued for February 14, 2011 00:31 UT
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

ระเบิดครั้งใหญ่มากๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆๆ classs X2.2

Major Flare (X2.2) / Solar Update
02/15/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 02:20
Comment on Message Board X2.2 Major Solar Flare - Massive Sunspot 1158 has produced a major X2.2 Class Solar Flare at 01:56 UTC Tuesday. This is the largest Solar Flare of Cycle 24 and a CME could be associated with this event. A strong R3 Radio Blackout has taken place as well. More to follow.
X2.2 Flare captured by GOES SXI (Tuesday)

Solar Flux 113 - The solar flux is again at a new high of 113. This beats out Sunday's reading of 107 and this is the highest it has been since September of 2005.
Solar Update / Aurora Watch - There will continue to be a chance for strong solar flares around Sunspot 1158. This region has a BETA-Gamma magnetic configuration which should keep it very active over the next 24-48 hours.
With all of the flare activity taking place over the past 72 hours, there will be a chance for geomagnetic storming at high latitudes should any effects from CME activity take place. More information will follow should a CME be on its way due to the X2.2 Flare early on Tuesday.
Sunspots (Early Tuesday)


<table border="1" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td background="graphics/solarback2.jpg" width="505">

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Feb 14 2205 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 045 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Feb 2011

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been moderate Region 1158 (S21W14)
produce an M2/1N flare at 14/1745Z associated with a 150 sfu
Tenflare and a Type II radio sweep (estimated velocity 1479 km/s).
Region 1158 also produced seven C-class events the largest being a
C9 at 14/1253. This region continued to grow throughout the period
and is currently magnetically classified as a Beta-gamma type
spotgroup with an area of 450 millionths.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a chance for an M5 or greater x-ray event for days
one thru three (15-17 February).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. A sudden impulse was
observed at 14/1600Z (12nT, as measured by the Boulder USGS
magnetometer). Solar wind data from the ACE satellite indicated a
shock arrival at 14/1456Z. Solar wind velocities increased to
approximately 410 km/s and total field increased to around 20 nT
following the shock. The source of todays activity is likely an
east limb event that occurred at 11/2146Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods on day one (15 February). There is a slight chance for
isolated minor storm periods on days two and three (16-17 February).
The increase is forecast due to the expected return of a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream and the arrival of a CME from
yesterdays M6 event.

III. Event Probabilities 15 Feb-17 Feb
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green

</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

<table style="margin-bottom: 5px;" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 102); font-size: 20pt; font-family: Times New Roman,Times; color: rgb(255, 255, 0); text-align: left;" rowspan="1" colspan="1" align="left" bgcolor="#000066" width="99%">[FONT=&quot]BREAKING NEWS[/FONT][FONT=&quot]: 1st X-Class Flare of Cycle 24 Explodes[/FONT]</td><td style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 102); text-align: left;" rowspan="1" colspan="1" align="left" background="https://imgssl.constantcontact.com/letters/images/1101093164665/top_right.gif" bgcolor="#000066" width="1%">
</td></tr><tr><td style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 10pt; text-align: left;" rowspan="1" colspan="2" align="left"> by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Media


A second blast from sunspot region 1158 kicks off the first X-class flare of cycle 24. This one looks directly Earth directed and most likely has set off alerts to the US Air Force and FCC.

​

​

Significant magnetic flux suggests a significant storm of charged particles will be hitting the Earth's magnetic field with 8 - 42 hours.

​

​

Equation:
Sunspots => Solar Flares (charged particles) => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros 1998)

​

​

Watch for some unfortunate headline news regarding earth changing events over the next 72 hours. For the southern hemisphere, it will most likely be in the way of Cyclones. For the northern hemisphere, could manifest as harsh winter storms.

​

​

And one can never overlook earthquake and volcano activity
[FONT=&quot], this includes under sea volcanoes which will most likely go un-noticed.

[/FONT]
</td></tr></tbody></table> <table style="margin-bottom: 5px;" border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" width="100%" cols="0"><tbody><tr><td style="color: rgb(255, 255, 153); font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 10pt; background-color: rgb(0, 0, 102); text-align: center;" rowspan="1" colspan="1" align="center" bgcolor="#000066" width="99%">Mitch Battros Research of the Sun - Earth Connection and 2012</td><td style="background-color: rgb(0, 0, 102); text-align: left;" rowspan="1" colspan="1" align="left" background="https://imgssl.constantcontact.com/letters/images/1101093164665/top_right.gif" bgcolor="#000066" width="1%">
</td></tr><tr><td style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 10pt; text-align: left;" rowspan="1" colspan="2" align="left">

​

Mitch Battros presents fascinating, and sometimes shocking, research from the world's top scientists. After years of dialogue with these experts, Mitch has been accepted into the guarded halls of NASA, NOAA, ESA, Royal Observatory, the US Naval Observatory and other highly esteemed scientific bodies. In addition to the latest research on the Sun's influence on our "weather".

Mitch also presents ground-breaking evidence of how the Sun and other celestial orbs produce 'charged particles' and their impact on humanity.

​

Just as the Sun's solar activity affects the Earth's magnetic field which has a dramatic affect on Earth's "weather" i.e. earthquakes, floods, volcanoes, hurricanes; so does this wave of electrical currents affect the human body's magnetic field. Mitch also reveals a little-known development from modern medicine known as Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation (TMS). TMS provides empirical evidence of how magnetic fields can influence human emotions.

Solar Cycle 24 has begun - and it has been predicted by NASA, NOAA and ESA to be up to 50% stronger than its 'record breaking' predecessor Cycle 23 which produced the largest solar flare ever recorded. The Sun will reach its 'apex' (maximum) in late 2011 into 2012.

"I believe it will be the magnetic influence produced by the Sun which will usher in what is described by our ancient ancestors as "the transition" bringing us to a new state-of-being". (Mitch Battros)


</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

Philadelphia ที่อเมริกา มีคนเจอลูกไฟพุ่งจากฟ้ากลางวันแสกๆ

Event: Event into space
Location: USA State of Pennsylvania Near Philadelphia Navy Yard Philadelphia

Situation: A daytime fireball seen today from Philadelphia, New York City, New Jersey and other parts of the east coast turned heads and made waves. Over 20 AMS reports were filed within an hour of the fall and almost all of them put the space rock somewhere in the Atlantic. The image below represents the plotting of the witness reports received by the AMS website in the first hour of this fall. 20+ reports in 1 hour for a daytime fireball, means this was a significant meteor event. The red person icon means the witness saw the meteor traveling left to right. The green icon means the person saw the meteor traveling right to left. The green line is the direction the witness first saw the fireball. The yellow line is where they last saw it. The red line is my ‘quick guess’ at the path of this fireball based on early reports.

 

MAJOR FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have detected the strongest solar flare in more than four years. At 0156 UT on Feb. 15th, giant sunspot 1158 unleashed an X2-class eruption. X-flares are the strongest type of x-ray flare, and this is the first such eruption of new Solar Cycle 24. The explosion that produced the flare also sent a solar tsunami rippling through the sun's atmosphere and, more importantly, hurled a coronal mass ejection toward Earth. This raises the possibility of geomagnetic storms in the days ahead.

 

เอาแค่นี้ก่อนเดี๋ยวมาแปลช่วงล่าง

Major Flare (X2.2) / Full Halo CME
02/15/2011 by Kevin VE3EN at 02:20
Comment on Message Board UPDATE - It appears a full halo CME was associated with the X2.2 Flare. I created this Movie with the STEREO website using the COR2 Behind data.
X2.2 makes waves on the sun - Watch Movie


X2.2 Major Solar Flare - The sun showed some love on Valentines Day. Massive Sunspot 1158 has produced a major X2.2 Class Solar Flare at 01:56 UTC Tuesday. This is the largest Solar Flare of Cycle 24 and a CME could be associated with this event. A strong R3 Radio Blackout has taken place as well.

X2.2 Flare captured by GOES SXI (Tuesday)

Solar Flux 113 - The solar flux is again at a new high of 113. This beats out Sunday's reading of 107 and this is the highest it has been since September of 2005.


Solar Update / Aurora Watch - There will continue to be a chance for strong solar flares around Sunspot 1158. This region has a BETA-Gamma magnetic configuration which should keep it very active over the next 24-48 hours.


With all of the flare activity taking place over the past 72 hours, there will be a chance for geomagnetic storming at high latitudes should any effects from CME activity take place. More information will follow should a CME be on its way due to the X2.2 Flare early on Tuesday.

X2.2 การระเบิดครั้งรุนแรงของพระอาทิตย์ - พระอาทิตย์แสดงถึงความรักในวันวาเลนไทน์เมื่อ 01.56 UTC วันอังคาร การระเบิดครั้งนี้เป็นการระเบิดครั้งใหญ่ที่สุดในวัฏจักร 24 และจะมี CME ในการระเบิดครั้งนี้ด้วย และได้เกิด R3 Radio blackout ด้วย

ฟลักซ์แม่เหล็กของพระอาทิตย์ 113 ได้ทำลายสถิติของลูกก่อนตอนวันอาทิตย์ (เที่ยงคืนกว่าๆ เมืองไทย) และเป็นตัวที่สูงสุดตั้งแต่นับตั้งแต่ กันยา 2005

และยังจะมีโอกาสที่จะระเบิดแบบรุนแรง รอบๆ จุดดับ 1158 และรอบๆจุดดับ 1158 มีสนามแม่เหล็ก BETA-Gamma ซึ่งจะทำให้จุดนี้ยังครุกรุ่นในช่วง 24-48 ชั่วโมงข้างหน้า

การระเบิดทั้งหมดนี้ในรอบ 72 ชั่วโมง จะทำให้มีโอกาสที่จะทำให้เกิด พายุแม่เหล็กโลกที่แลตติจูดสูง และจะมีผลจาก CME ด้วย ยิ่งไปกว่านั้นจะมีตามด้วย CME ซึ่งอยู่ระหว่างการเดินทางของการระเบิด X2.2 เมื่อเช้าตรูของวันอังคารด้วย
(อันนี้เติมเอง คือ ระวังแ่ผ่นดินไหวใหญ่)

Sunspots (Early Tuesday)




<table border="1" cellpadding="10" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td background="graphics/solarback2.jpg" width="505"> Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Feb 14 2205 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 045 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Feb 2011

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been moderate Region 1158 (S21W14)
produce an M2/1N flare at 14/1745Z associated with a 150 sfu
Tenflare and a Type II radio sweep (estimated velocity 1479 km/s).
Region 1158 also produced seven C-class events the largest being a
C9 at 14/1253. This region continued to grow throughout the period
and is currently magnetically classified as a Beta-gamma type
spotgroup with an area of 450 millionths.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate with a chance for an M5 or greater x-ray event for days
one thru three (15-17 February).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. A sudden impulse was
observed at 14/1600Z (12nT, as measured by the Boulder USGS
magnetometer). Solar wind data from the ACE satellite indicated a
shock arrival at 14/1456Z. Solar wind velocities increased to
approximately 410 km/s and total field increased to around 20 nT
following the shock. The source of todays activity is likely an
east limb event that occurred at 11/2146Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods on day one (15 February). There is a slight chance for
isolated minor storm periods on days two and three (16-17 February).
The increase is forecast due to the expected return of a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream and the arrival of a CME from
yesterdays M6 event.

III. Event Probabilities 15 Feb-17 Feb
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green



[Latest Report]

</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

Silver Streaks in the Sky Likely a Meteor

Residents from NJ, NY, CT and Pa. report streaks of silver in the sky

By JOHN NOEL

"A streak of silver and then a flash with crazy colors." That's how one person on Twitter described the celestial phenomenon seen by thousands of people across five states.

Around 12:30 p.m. Monday a fireball appeared in the sky over Pennsylvania, traveling east for hundreds of miles.

Scientists say it most certainly was a large meteor, a piece of an asteroid or a comet that falls through the earth's atmosphere.

This latest meteor, one scientist says, was probably the size of a car and from its trajectory likely landed somewhere in the Atlantic Ocean.

Professor Jon Friedrich says while meteors fall to earth on a daily basis, "It is unusual to see one so bright in the middle of the day."

ประมาณ เที่ยงครึ่งของวันจันทร์ (14 กุมภาพันธ์) มีลูกไฟลูกใหญ่ปรากฏขึ้นบนท้องฟ้าในเพนซิวาเนีย วิ่งไปหลายร้อยไมล์

นักวิทยาศาสตร์แน่ใจว่ามันคืออุกาบาตลูกใหญ่ เป็นหนึ่งในชิ้นส่วนของอุกาบาตหรือดาวหาง ที่หล่นมายังชั้นบรรยากาศโลก

อุกาบาตล่าสุด นักวิทยาศาสตร์ท่านหนึ่งกล่าวไว้ว่า มันใหญ่เท่ากับขนาดของรถคันหนึ่ง และโคจรไปลงแถวๆ มหาสมุทธแอตแลนติก

Professor Jon Friedrich กล่าวไว้ว่าอุกาบาตหล่นมาที่โลกทุกวันปกติอยู่แล้ว แต่นี่มันไม่ปกติที่เห็นอันบนฟ้าสว่างระหว่างกลางวันแสกๆ


Missouri Bright Green Meteor 5 am 15FEB2011/ Meteor/Meteorite News 15FEB2011


Southwest Missouri Bright green metoerite at almost 5 am 15FEB2011
Feb 15 2011, 8:34 PM

Mj Vanderbush: Hey, MJ in Southwest Missouri. Saw Bright green meteor at almost 5 am. Was heading east but it was -definitely- heading south. It lit up the whole horizon for a brief moment and actually lasted fairly long. Was spectacular, brightest and biggest I've ever seen!

Meteor on the east coast Monday afternnon, we missed this one
Discussion about Meteor on the east coast Monday afternnon, we missed this one at the GodlikeProductions Conspiracy Forum. Our topics include Conspiracy ...

Silver Streaks in the Sky Likely a Meteor
NBC New York
Scientists say it most certainly was a large meteor, a piece of an asteroid or a comet that falls through the earth's atmosphere. This latest meteor ...

Possible meteor spotted over Philadelphia
Pocono Record
By NewsCore PHILADELPHIA — Several people reported seeing an object that resembled a meteorin the sky over Philadelphia's Navy Yard on Monday. ...

 

ดูกันหน่อยว่าพระอาทิตย์ x2.2 หน้าเหมือนอะไร

 

Event Issue Date: 2011-02-15 05:47:44.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2011-02-17 02:57:50.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 6 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours
Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 5.5 Re


เวลาที่ CME จะมาถึง 17 Feb 2011 02:57:50.0 GMT
พฤหัสที่ 17 กุมภาพันธ์ 2011 9.57 น. (+/- 6 ชั่วโมง)
ระยะเวลาที่จะส่งผลรบกวน 6 ชั่วโมง
ผลก็แค่อาจมีเครื่องไฟฟ้าบางอย่างดับ หรือกวนดาวเทียมและจะมีแสงออโรร่าตรงขั้วโลก

Sunspot 1158 has exploded again, this time producing a X2.2 Class Solar Flare. It also caused an R3 Radio Black Out on the on sunlit side of Earth.

The storm should hit the Earth about the time the sun it coming up on the East coast of the united states, so a majority of the energy should be directed at the Atlantic Ocean.

พายุจะมาถึงโลกประมาณเวลาที่พระอาทิตย์ขึ้นของอเมริกาฝั่งตะวันออก และพลังงานส่วนใหญ่จะตรงไปที่มหาสมุทรแอตแลนติก

Solar storms like this usually only last for a few hours, so most of the energy should be absorbed before the sun reaches it zenith on the East Coast. If for some reason the storm slows down, as they sometimes do, more of the energy will be directed towards the East Coast.

พายุสุริยะปกติจะไม่อยู่นานแค่ไม่กี่ชั่วโมง

This storm was pretty well tracked and was actually predicted by several solar weather agencies around the world, so most satellite operators should have ample warning to get their systems in safe mode. It may cause temporary disruption of services, but it shouldn't permanently damage any satellites. Radio communications may be temporarily disrupted as well, though it may only reduce the range of radio transmissions rather than black them out.

แค่อาจจะทำให้รบกวน service ต่างๆ แต่ไม่คิดว่ามันจะทำลายดาวเทียมจนใช้งานไม่ได้อีก

During the initial blast wave that hits the Earth, it may cause some beautiful aurora in both the southern and northern hemispheres. North America, should have a beautiful view in the early morning hours as far south as Utah. During this early blast wave, our magnetosphere will quake and will also allow more radiation through than normal. It is possible that air traffic will be rerouted or even possibly canceled during the early part of the storm.

ถ้าเป็นไปได้ก็หลีกเลี่ยงทางจราจรทางอากาศไปทางอื่น หรือ ยกเลิกไปช่วงที่พายุสุริยะเข้ามาถึงโลก



อ้างอิง




ปล.รูปแผนที่เป็นการคาดการณ์เอาเองจ้า

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-02-16 04:28:55 - Event into space - China

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">!!! WARNING !!!
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>CO-20110216-29581-CHN</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-02-16 04:28:55 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Asia</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>China</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>Statewide, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Event exciting : Electromagnetic storms affected shortwave radio communications
Damage level: Moderate (Level 2)

Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> A large solar flare accompanied by electromagnetic storms affected shortwave radio communications in southern China on Tuesday, according to the China Meteorological Administration (CMA). The CMA's space weather monitoring center reported that it had spotted the X2.2-class solar flare at 9:56 a.m. Tuesday Beijing Time. Xue Bingsen, a researcher with the center, said the solar flare caused sudden ionospheric disturbances in the atmosphere above China and affected shortwave radio communications, according to a CMA statement. A solar flare is a violent explosion in the sun's atmosphere caused by huge magnetic activity. The flares produce large amounts of radiation that can affect the Earth's ionosphere and disrupt radio communications. The space weather monitoring center said there is a high probability that large solar flares will appear in the next three days.
</td></tr></tbody> </table>
ระเบิดลูกใหญ่ของพระอาทิตย์ ส่งผลกระทบกับการสื่อสารของคลื่นวิทยุความถี่ต่ำในทางใต้ของประเทศจีน

และ flare ขนาดใหญ่นี้ยังส่งผลให้เกิดการแผ่รังสีที่มีผลกระทบกับบรรยากาศโลกและการสื่อสารวิทยุ

และศูนย์เฝ้าดูอวกาศ ยังบอกว่า มีโอกาสสูงที่จะมีการระเบิดขนาดใหญ่อีก ในสามวันข้างหน้า

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-02-16 04:53:49 - Flash Flood - Australia

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>FF-20110216-29584-AUS</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-02-16 04:53:49 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Australia & New-Zealand</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>Australia</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>State of Western Australia, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>Pilbara</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Event exciting : Extreme weather
Damage level: Moderate (Level 2)

Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> A Pilbara school has been flooded and two others closed because of extreme wet weather. The Education Department said parents of children at Newman Primary School have been asked to collect their children early today because flooding has made four classrooms unusable. Power to the school has been cut because of concerns of possible electrical damage. Roebourne District High School will be closed today and tomorrow because of dangerous road conditions between Roebourne and Karratha. Students have been asked to stay home. Wickham Primary School is also closed today. Karratha Senior High School is open but students from Wickham, Roebourne and Point Sampson have been told to stay home because the normal bus service is not running. Pilbara Regional Executive Director Sue Cuneo said every precaution had been taken to ensure the safety of students and staff. She urged parents to be cautious when collecting students near flooded stormwater drains. The department said it was monitoring advice from the Bureau of Meteorology about a possible cyclone developing in the Pilbara.
</td></tr></tbody> </table>

น้ำท่วมฉับพลันในออสเตรเลีย ทำให้โรงเรียนปิด แถมยังมีพายุลูกใหม่อีกสองลูกกำลังก่อตัวรอบออสเตรเลีย

 

ฝนตกหนักในอินเดีย ทั้งพายุ ลูกเห็บ ลม ทำลายพืชผลหมด

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-02-16 09:11:48 - Extreme Weather - India

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>ST-20110216-29585-IND</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-02-16 09:11:48 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Asia</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>India</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>State of Rajastan, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>Rajastan-wide, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Damage level: Serious (Level 4)

Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Rains triggered by western disturbance continued to lash parts of Rajasthan, damaging crops in many villages of Bundi district. Heavy showers coupled with hailstorms lashed Bundi district last night damaging crops of wheat, mustard, coriander seeds and lentils. Hailstorm lashed several villages including Sukhpura, Gothera, Mandi, Bhagwanipura, Tokera, Panch ki Bawari of Hindoli sub-division last evening following which standing crop was damaged in these villages, Mandi village Sarpanch Bhuribai said. Hindoli MLA Prabhulal Saini has demanded a survey of the damage caused to the crop by the rains and appropriate compensation for affected farmers. Bundi Sub-Divisional Magistrate (SDM) Amanulla Khan said that the revenue officials have been asked to estimate the loss due to untimely thundershowers.



Reports of hailstorm and showers also came in from Hindoli, Nainwa, Lekhari and Bundi sub-divisions of the district. The thundershowers damaged the crops of mustard and coriander seeds in Kankala, Utarana, Budhala and many villages of Lekhari sub-division last evening, officials said. Similarly, damage to the extent of 60 to 70 per cent is feared caused by the evening spell in Kalayanpura, Sadara, Fathapura, Jaitpur, Talwas, Suri, Karwar, Jhakmund and dozen other villages in the Nainwa sub division. Former MLA from Nainwa, Harimohan Sharma, has demanded compensation for affected farmers. Rains were also received at places like Bharatpur, Pilani, Dholpur, Ajmer, Jaipur, Sikar, Kota, Sawaimadhopur. Sikar recorded a maximum rainfall of 28 mm, the MeT department today said. While, a few other places in Karauli, Dausa, Tonk, Sawaimadhopur, Bundi, Bhilwara, Sikar and Bikaner districts witnessed heavy rainfall and hail last night. Meanwhile, some parts of the desert state recorded minimum temperatures between 10.2 deg C to 15.6 deg C, MeT department said.
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

ไซโคลนคาร์ลอสถ่มเมืองดาร์วินออสเตรเลีย

(พายุนี้พึ่งเริ่มก่อตัวเอง และพึ่งได้ชื่อเอง)

 

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]AURORA WATCH: [/FONT]A series of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) en route to Earth from sunspot 1158 will buffet our planet's magnetic field during the next 24-48 hours. NOAA forecasters estimate a 45% chance of geomagnetic activity on Feb. 17th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

CME ของจุดดับ 1158 จะทะยอยเข้ามาถึงสนามแม่เหล็กโลก ช่วงระหว่าง 24-48 ชั่วโมงข้างหน้า เฝ้ารอดูสนามแม่เหล็กโลกมีปฏิกิริยากัน เช่น ออโรร่า

 

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]AMAZING SUNSPOT MOVIE: [/FONT]Less than a week ago, sunspot 1158 didn't exist. Now it is wider than the planet Jupiter and unleashing the strongest solar flares since Dec. 2006. Click on the arrow to witness the amazing 5-day development of this active region, courtesy of NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:

อเมสซิ่งหนังของจุดดับ: ไม่ถึงอาทิตย์ที่ผ่านมา จุดดับ 1158 ไม่มี แต่ตอนนี้ขยายใหญ่กว้างกว่าดาวพฤหัสและระเบิด solar flare ที่แรงที่สุดนับตั้งแต่ปี 2006 กดตรงปุ่มลูกศรเพื่อเป็นพยานว่า การพัฒนาตัวใน 5 วันของจุดดับนี้เป็นอย่างไร

​

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-02-17 05:21:35 - Earthquake - Ghana

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">!!! WARNING !!!
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>EQ-20110217-29603-GHA</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-02-17 05:21:35 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Africa</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>Ghana</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>Greater Accra Region, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>Taifa, Dome, Tantra Hills, Achimota, Kwabenya, Ashongman and East Legon, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2"> Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Residents of some communities in Accra at dawn on Wednesday experienced what eyewitnesses described as an earth tremor. The incident, which occurred around 0400 hours affected communities like Taifa, Dome, Tantra Hills, Achimota, Kwabenya, Ashongman and East Legon, from where residents called a local radio station for confirmation. Official sources, however, could not confirm the incident to the Ghana News Agency (GNA) as the nation did not have the equipment to measure incidence of earthquakes or tremors. It said the Geological Survey Department charged with detecting and measuring the level of earthquakes and tremors nationwide on a Richter scale was currently ineffective because it lacked the equipment to perform its mandate. The source said the Department was yet to install a new equipment to replace an obsolete one and until the installation at a new location at Achimota was completed, little could be done about the situation. It said there was the need to install the equipment at Achimota because the Ridge Office was too close to residential and commercial activities and ideally the equipment should be located far away from residential areas. However, the source said there were smaller versions of the equipment installed in some of the Regions to measure the incidence of such occurrences.
</td></tr></tbody></table>

เมื่อวันพุธ ตีสี่ แผ่นดินไหวที่กาน่า แต่ยังไม่มีเครื่องวัดแผ่นดินไหวที่นั่นเลยไม่รู้ว่าไหวเท่าไหร่

 

<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-02-17 10:25:36 - Tropical Storm - Madagascar

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>TC-20110217-29608-MDG</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-02-17 10:25:36 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Indian Ocean</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>Madagascar</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>Statewide, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Number of dead people: 6
Damage level: Serious (Level 4)
Affected people: 15000

Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> The Bingiza Cyclone which hit northern Madagascar earlier this week has claimed six lives and left one person missing, with more than 15,000 people homeless and 8,530 buildings ruined, authorities said Thursday. The Indian Ocean island's emergency office said the dead included four family members who drowned in the tropical hurricane, with gusts reaching 200 kilometres per hour. In the south-east, home to the country's vital pepper and vanilla crops, most areas are flooded after the heavy rains. Floods are also threatening Farafangana further south. Care International and the Red Cross have mobilised emergency work in regions cut off, and are being aided by helicopters. </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" valign="top" width="100%">2011-02-17 10:07:29 - Extreme Weather - Japan

</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" width="100%">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table align="left" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td width="25%">EDIS Code:</td> <td>ST-20110217-29607-JPN</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Date&Time:</td> <td>2011-02-17 10:07:29 [UTC]</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Continent:</td> <td>Asia</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Country:</td> <td>Japan</td> </tr> <tr> <td>State/Prov.:</td> <td>Prefecture of Miyazaki, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>Location:</td> <td>Miyakonojo and Takaharu, </td> </tr> <tr> <td>City:</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> Not confirmed information!
</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <td align="right" width="440"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> Description: </td> </tr><tr> <td colspan="2" valign="top"> More than 2,500 people living near a volcano that has been spewing ash in southern Japan were advised to evacuate their homes on Thursday after heavy rain threatened mudslides of accumulated ash, a local official said. Shinmoedake began erupting in late January, in its biggest activity in some 300 years. The volcanic activity has disrupted airline flights and blanketed nearby vegetable farms with ash, but there have been no reports of serious injury or deaths. The Japan Meteorological Agency expected rainfall of more than 4 mm (0.16 inch) per hour to last until Thursday night, an amount that the local government said could cause mudslides. The official, in the city of Miyakonojo, said 63 people had moved to evacuation centres by midday. The town of Takaharu, located at the foot of 1,421 metre (4,662 ft) mountain on the southern island of Kyushu, also advised about 250 residents and a business to prepare for evacuation in case it was necessary.
</td></tr></tbody> </table>
ญี่ปุ่น ถูกแนะนำให้อพยพออกไปไกลจากภูเขาไฟ เพราะฝนปนกับเถ้าถ่านและแผ่นดินถล่ม และยังรบกวนการบินอีกด้วย แต่ยังไม่มีรายงานคนตายหรือบาดเจ็บ
ฝนตกอย่างหนัก วัดได้ 4 mm หรือ 0.16 นิ้ว ต่อชั่วโมง

 

[VDO]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJViaJ_kgZ0&feature=player_embedded[/VDO]